Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.19) 0.91 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 30.7% 29.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Diyala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 13.5% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaftDiyala
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack8%62%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naft Diyala
HATHAT
Played369459
Wins33%17%22%50%60%56%
Draws33%50%44%50%20%33%
Loses33%33%33%0%20%11%

Form: Naft: WLDWDLDDL • Diyala: WWWDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Naft Diyala
HATHAT
GF total46106713
GF avg1.31.01.11.51.41.4
GA total268257
GA avg0.71.00.90.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaftDiyala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%44%89%67%
1.533%44%44%11%
2.522%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaftDiyala
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricNaftDiyala
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNaftDiyala
Wins13
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-0—2-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricNaftDiyala
Form27%73%
Att11%89%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Naft or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naft = 1.09 (league 1.19), Diyala = 0.91 (league 1.08)

Diyala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naft 0 13.5% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 29.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1