Iraqi League — Iraq
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.19) 0.46 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 45.2% 23.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Naft
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gharraf 0 35.0% 16.1% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 9.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGharrafNaft
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack9%27%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gharraf Naft
HATHAT
Played65114610
Wins33%20%27%50%17%30%
Draws33%40%36%25%50%40%
Loses33%40%36%25%33%30%

Form: Gharraf: WWWDDDLLLDL • Naft: WLDWDLDDLW

League goals

Metric Gharraf Naft
HATHAT
GF total4376612
GF avg0.70.60.61.51.01.2
GA total347369
GA avg0.50.80.60.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGharrafNaft
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%55%60%50%
1.59%9%40%40%
2.59%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGharrafNaft
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score426134

Penalties

MetricGharrafNaft
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGharrafNaft
Wins31
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-22-0
Goals For3133
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricGharrafNaft
Form17%83%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naft and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ William Hill
No1.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gharraf = 0.59 (league 1.19), Naft = 0.46 (league 1.08)

Naft
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gharraf 0 35.0% 16.1% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 9.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 45.2% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1