Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.16)
3.41 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 14.0% | 56.9% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.7%
1 - 2
5.9%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sertãozinho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monte Azul | 0 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 18% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 0% | 29% | 15% | 29% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 43% | 38% | 57% | 0% | 31% |
| Loses | 67% | 29% | 46% | 14% | 50% | 31% |
Monte AzulDWLWDLLDDDLLL
SertãozinhoDWDDLWDWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 77% | 69% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 23% | 8% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 1-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monte Azul | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
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