Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 21:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.16)
1.80 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 18.5% | 25.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sertãozinho | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ituano | 0 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 67% |
| Defense | 78% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 67% | 60% | 64% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 27% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
ItuanoDWDWWDWWWWL
SertãozinhoDWDDLWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ituano | Sertãozinho | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 64% | 70% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ituano | Sertãozinho |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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