Paulista - A4
— Brazil
Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 19:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.04)
0.28 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.7% | 32.3% | 8.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.7%
0 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Nacional SP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barretos | 0 | 24.1% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 70% |
| Defense | 40% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 57% | 46% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 38% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Loses | 17% | 14% | 15% | 71% | 67% | 69% |
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League goals
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barretos | Nacional SP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 54% | 15% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 8% | 15% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barretos | Nacional SP |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away5.51 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.32 @ Superbet
No1.60 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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