Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:00 • Polideportivo Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.23) 0.05 (league 2.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 44.0% 2.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.3%
1 - 0
34.3%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 42.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesRayo Vallecano
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack58%58%
Defense100%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 3.711 | 3.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played123033
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Alaves: WWW • Rayo Vallecano: WWW

League goals

Metric Alaves Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total1101101111
GF avg1.05.03.70.03.73.7
GA total000033
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.567%0%100%0%
2.567%0%67%0%
3.533%0%33%0%
4.533%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAlavesRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAlavesRayo Vallecano
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-7—1-6
Biggest losses————
Goals For1706
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricAlavesRayo Vallecano
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals14%86%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ 1xBet
Draw3.13 @ Pinnacle
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.54 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 0.81 (league 1.23), Rayo Vallecano = 0.05 (league 2.10)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 42.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 44.0% · Away win 2.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1