Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.81 (league 1.25) 2.89 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 10.8% 13.6%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.2%
4 - 3
4.1%
5 - 2
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albacete 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4%
4 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7%
5 1.0% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlbaceteReal Madrid
Played31
Form100%100%
Attack42%16%
Defense84%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.73 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

67%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Albacete Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played123011
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Albacete: WWW • Real Madrid: W

League goals

Metric Albacete Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total358033
GF avg3.02.52.70.03.03.0
GA total213022
GA avg2.00.51.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlbaceteReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.5100%33%100%100%
2.567%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlbaceteReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAlbaceteReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlbaceteReal Madrid
Wins31
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-3—2-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3303
Goals Against2102

Model comparison

MetricAlbaceteReal Madrid
Form75%25%
Att73%27%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Albacete or draw and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.50 @ Unibet
Draw6.38 @ Pinnacle
Away1.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.53.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Albacete = 4.81 (league 1.25), Real Madrid = 2.89 (league 2.07)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albacete 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4%
4 1.0% 2.9% 4.2% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7%
5 1.0% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 13.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1