Copa del Rey — Spain
Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 20:00 • Municipal El Plantio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.25) 1.45 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.6% 26.9% 54.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 11.4% 16.6% 12.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosValencia
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack38%56%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 29 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.71 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Valencia
HATHAT
Played123033
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Burgos: WWW • Valencia: WWW

League goals

Metric Burgos Valencia
HATHAT
GF total336099
GF avg3.01.52.00.03.03.0
GA total112011
GA avg1.00.50.70.00.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%33%
1.567%0%100%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBurgosValencia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBurgosValencia
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2—0-5
Biggest losses————
Goals For3205
Goals Against1101

Model comparison

MetricBurgosValencia
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Valencia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Dafabet
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away2.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 0.72 (league 1.25), Valencia = 1.45 (league 2.07)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 11.4% 16.6% 12.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 4 , vtd1