Ettan - Södra
— Sweden
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 •
Kristianstads Fotbollsarena
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.65)
1.93 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 20.2% | 67.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Utsikten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kristianstad | 0 | 7.9% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Kristianstad carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 259 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kristianstad -16.7, Utsikten -1.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Kristianstad
vs
Utsikten
Elo gapKristianstad +259
Home / draw / away67% / 18% / 15%
Expected home share82%
Combined Elo2993
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2993
Elo home share
82%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1608.4 | 1384.6 |
| Form Elo | 1581.6 | 1382.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1554.6 | 1420.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1627.6 | 1479.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1581.8 | 1290 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.7 | -1.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kristianstad last-5 Elo change: -16.7; Utsikten last-5 Elo change: -1.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 22% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
KristianstadDDL
UtsiktenLWL
League goals
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kristianstad | Utsikten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kristianstad | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.88 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.29 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…