Ettan - Södra
— Sweden
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Glanninge Park
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.67)
3.73 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6% | 6.4% | 73.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 4
10.6%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| trelleborgs FF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Laholm | 0 | 1.3% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Laholm carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 159 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Laholm -29.8, trelleborgs FF +42.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Laholm
vs
trelleborgs FF
Elo gapLaholm +159
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo2977.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2977.8
Elo home share
71%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1551.1 | 1426.7 |
| Form Elo | 1506.9 | 1490.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1539.9 | 1443.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1673.2 | 1434.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1467.5 | 1412.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -29.8 | +42.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Laholm last-5 Elo change: -29.8; trelleborgs FF last-5 Elo change: +42.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 78% |
| Attack | 9% | 91% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 10 | 3.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
LaholmLDL
trelleborgs FFWDW
League goals
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Laholm | trelleborgs FF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Laholm | trelleborgs FF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 9% | 91% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 21.8% | 78.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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