Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Edsborgs IP
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.67)
0.89 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 40.7% | 57.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.9%
0 - 1
34.8%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Skövde AIK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trollhättan | 0 | 38.9% | 34.8% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Trollhättan carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 30 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Trollhättan +14.3, Skövde AIK +20.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Trollhättan
vs
Skövde AIK
Elo gapTrollhättan +30
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3013.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3013.1
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1504.2 | 1508.9 |
| Form Elo | 1532.3 | 1542.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1465 | 1469.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1621.4 | 1566.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1344.1 | 1385.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.3 | +20.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Trollhättan last-5 Elo change: +14.3; Skövde AIK last-5 Elo change: +20.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 56% |
| Attack | 64% | 9% |
| Defense | 45% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
TrollhättanLWW
Skövde AIKDDW
League goals
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trollhättan | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 74.3% | 26.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away4.56 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.32 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…