Ettan - Södra
— Sweden
Fri, May 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Harlyckan
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.66)
0.74 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.1% | 34.6% | 28.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Angelholms FF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eskilsminne | 0 | 19.3% | 14.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Eskilsminne carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 115 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eskilsminne +25.0, Angelholms FF -8.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Eskilsminne
vs
Angelholms FF
Elo gapEskilsminne +115
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2925.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2925.8
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1502.8 | 1423 |
| Form Elo | 1532.5 | 1420.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1478.6 | 1488.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1550.5 | 1481.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1446.2 | 1386.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +25.0 | -8.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Eskilsminne last-5 Elo change: +25.0; Angelholms FF last-5 Elo change: -8.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 25% |
| Attack | 32% | 16% |
| Defense | 84% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 100% | 75% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
EskilsminneWLDW
Angelholms FFLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-5 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eskilsminne | Angelholms FF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ 1xBet
Away3.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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