Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.07 (league 1.13) 0.05 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.3% 2.0% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
18.2%
5 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
AS Gabes
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES TunisAS Gabes
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack92%23%
Defense92%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Tunis AS Gabes
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins88%43%67%14%0%7%
Draws13%43%27%57%25%40%
Loses0%14%7%29%75%53%

Form: ES Tunis: DDWWLWWWWDWWWDW • AS Gabes: DDWLLLDLLDLDLDL

League goals

Metric ES Tunis AS Gabes
HATHAT
GF total18927437
GF avg2.31.31.80.60.40.5
GA total12351621
GA avg0.10.30.20.72.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES TunisAS Gabes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%20%40%80%
1.560%0%7%33%
2.527%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES TunisAS Gabes
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512213
Failed to score044459

Penalties

MetricES TunisAS Gabes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricES TunisAS Gabes
Wins41
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-1—
Biggest losses—1-00-14-0
Goals For4421
Goals Against1114

Model comparison

MetricES TunisAS Gabes
Form87%13%
Att80%20%
Def90%10%
Poisson Distribution99%1%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total89.2%10.8%

Advice: Winner : ES Tunis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.09 @ Betano
Draw13.21 @ Pinnacle
Away41.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.75 @ 10Bet
No1.29 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ES Tunis = 4.07 (league 1.13), AS Gabes = 0.05 (league 0.81)

AS Gabes
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Tunis 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.3% · Draw 2.0% · Away win 0.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1