Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Hedi-Enneifer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.16) 0.37 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 32.0% 11.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
0 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
US Monastirienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Tunisien 0 21.6% 8.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade TunisienUS Monastirienne
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack29%50%
Defense93%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Tunisien US Monastirienne
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins75%29%53%57%25%40%
Draws25%57%40%43%63%53%
Loses0%14%7%0%13%7%

Form: Stade Tunisien: DWDWWWWDWWDDDLW • US Monastirienne: DDWDDWWDWLDDDWW

League goals

Metric Stade Tunisien US Monastirienne
HATHAT
GF total126189817
GF avg1.50.91.21.31.01.1
GA total0443710
GA avg0.00.60.30.40.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade TunisienUS Monastirienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%27%80%53%
1.533%0%33%13%
2.513%0%0%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade TunisienUS Monastirienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311437
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricStade TunisienUS Monastirienne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricStade TunisienUS Monastirienne
Wins42
Draws33
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses—1-0—2-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricStade TunisienUS Monastirienne
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stade Tunisien or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away4.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.67 @ 188Bet
No1.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Tunisien = 1.16 (league 1.16), US Monastirienne = 0.37 (league 0.81)

US Monastirienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Tunisien 0 21.6% 8.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 11.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1