Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.15) 0.64 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 46.2% 37.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.6%
0 - 1
24.0%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
ES Tunis
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Monastirienne 0 37.6% 24.0% 7.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.8% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUS MonastirienneES Tunis
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric US Monastirienne ES Tunis
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins57%22%38%89%43%69%
Draws43%67%56%11%43%25%
Loses0%11%6%0%14%6%

Form: US Monastirienne: DDWDDWWDWLDDDWWD • ES Tunis: DDWWLWWWWDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric US Monastirienne ES Tunis
HATHAT
GF total981720929
GF avg1.30.91.12.21.31.8
GA total3710224
GA avg0.40.80.60.20.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUS MonastirienneES Tunis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%25%
1.531%13%63%0%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%19%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUS MonastirienneES Tunis
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487512
Failed to score134044

Penalties

MetricUS MonastirienneES Tunis
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricUS MonastirienneES Tunis
Wins24
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-4
Biggest losses—2-1—1-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricUS MonastirienneES Tunis
Form41%59%
Att37%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ES Tunis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away1.94 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ William Hill
No1.62 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): US Monastirienne = 0.34 (league 1.15), ES Tunis = 0.64 (league 0.81)

ES Tunis
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Monastirienne 0 37.6% 24.0% 7.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.8% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 46.2% · Away win 37.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1