Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 13:00 • 7 March Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.13) 0.48 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 34.3% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 0
22.0%
2 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Ben Guerdane 0 22.0% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUS Ben GuerdaneAS Marsa
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%33%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric US Ben Guerdane AS Marsa
HATHAT
Played79169615
Wins43%11%25%44%17%33%
Draws43%44%44%11%0%7%
Loses14%44%31%44%83%60%

Form: US Ben Guerdane: WLDDLLDLDDDWWWLD • AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWLLWLWL

League goals

Metric US Ben Guerdane AS Marsa
HATHAT
GF total66126814
GF avg0.90.70.80.71.30.9
GA total213158816
GA avg0.31.40.90.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUS Ben GuerdaneAS Marsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%47%67%
1.519%25%20%33%
2.50%6%7%7%
3.50%6%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUS Ben GuerdaneAS Marsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets527415
Failed to score347538

Penalties

MetricUS Ben GuerdaneAS Marsa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUS Ben GuerdaneAS Marsa
Wins31
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-6
Biggest losses0-14-00-32-0
Goals For2226
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricUS Ben GuerdaneAS Marsa
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : US Ben Guerdane or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw2.62 @ William Hill
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.37 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ William Hill
No1.62 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): US Ben Guerdane = 1.04 (league 1.13), AS Marsa = 0.48 (league 0.81)

AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Ben Guerdane 0 22.0% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1