Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 07:00 •
Mercari Stadium
Expected Goals
3.76 (league 1.33)
2.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.7% | 14.4% | 21.6% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.1%
4 - 2
4.8%
3 - 3
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Kashiwa Reysol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kashima | 0 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 0% |
| Attack | 13% | 27% |
| Defense | 87% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
KashimaLW
Kashiwa ReysolLL
League goals
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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