J1 League — Japan
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 07:00 • Mercari Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.33) 1.78 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 20.1% 29.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tokyo Verdy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashima 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
1 4.0% 7.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKashimaTokyo Verdy
Played44
Form75%75%
Attack50%71%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.810 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 17 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kashima Tokyo Verdy
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%0%50%25%
KashimaLWWW
Tokyo VerdyWWWL

League goals

Metric Kashima Tokyo Verdy
HATHAT
GF total3476410
GF avg1.52.01.83.02.02.5
GA total044347
GA avg0.02.01.01.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKashimaTokyo Verdy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.550%50%100%50%
2.525%0%50%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKashimaTokyo Verdy
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricKashimaTokyo Verdy
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKashimaTokyo Verdy
Wins03
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-11-2
Biggest losses—2-1—3-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricKashimaTokyo Verdy
Form50%50%
Att41%59%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals64%36%
Total56.6%43.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away4.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings

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