J1 League — Japan
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 06:00 • Panasonic Stadium Suita
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.30) 2.01 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 21.3% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamba Osaka 0 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.1% 8.3% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGamba OsakaV-varen Nagasaki
Played44
Form75%50%
Attack50%42%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 16 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gamba Osaka V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%50%50%50%

Form: Gamba Osaka: WLWW • V-varen Nagasaki: LLWW

League goals

Metric Gamba Osaka V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
GF total336235
GF avg1.51.51.51.01.51.3
GA total314336
GA avg1.50.51.01.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGamba OsakaV-varen Nagasaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.550%25%25%50%
2.525%0%25%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGamba OsakaV-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricGamba OsakaV-varen Nagasaki
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGamba OsakaV-varen Nagasaki
Wins10
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-1—1-32-0
Goals For3213
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricGamba OsakaV-varen Nagasaki
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals48%52%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Gamba Osaka or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 188Bet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gamba Osaka = 1.73 (league 1.30), V-varen Nagasaki = 2.01 (league 1.12)

V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamba Osaka 0 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.1% 8.3% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 43.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1