Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 05:00 •
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.32)
4.47 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 9.7% | 50.7% |
best score tips
1 - 4
5.4%
2 - 4
5.1%
1 - 5
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Machida Zelvia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 20% | 75% |
| Attack | 44% | 63% |
| Defense | 31% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 20% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 75% | 80% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Kashiwa Reysol: LLLWL • Machida Zelvia: WWLW
League goals
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-3 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Machida Zelvia and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kashiwa Reysol = 1.89 (league 1.32), Machida Zelvia = 4.47 (league 1.12)
| Machida Zelvia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 50.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1