J1 League — Japan
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 05:00 • Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.30) 0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.5% 36.5% 41.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
20.6%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cerezo Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyoto Sanga 0 23.1% 20.6% 9.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack44%25%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kyoto Sanga Cerezo Osaka
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%67%50%60%

Form: Kyoto Sanga: LWWWL • Cerezo Osaka: LWLLW

League goals

Metric Kyoto Sanga Cerezo Osaka
HATHAT
GF total347224
GF avg1.51.31.40.71.00.8
GA total235314
GA avg1.01.01.01.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%60%
1.560%20%20%20%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricKyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
Wins31
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-21-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-01-21-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricKyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals48%52%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kyoto Sanga or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kyoto Sanga = 0.58 (league 1.30), Cerezo Osaka = 0.89 (league 1.12)

Cerezo Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyoto Sanga 0 23.1% 20.6% 9.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 41.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1