J1 League — Japan
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 05:00 • IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.30) 0.89 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 25.7% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shimizu S-pulse 0 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 12.1% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShimizu S-pulseFagiano Okayama
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack25%38%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shimizu S-pulse Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%80%33%100%60%

Form: Shimizu S-pulse: LLWLL • Fagiano Okayama: LLLWW

League goals

Metric Shimizu S-pulse Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
GF total224426
GF avg1.00.70.81.31.01.2
GA total257347
GA avg1.01.71.41.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShimizu S-pulseFagiano Okayama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%100%80%
1.520%40%20%60%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShimizu S-pulseFagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricShimizu S-pulseFagiano Okayama
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShimizu S-pulseFagiano Okayama
Wins10
Draws00
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-1—
Biggest losses1-23-21-22-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricShimizu S-pulseFagiano Okayama
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shimizu S-pulse = 1.53 (league 1.30), Fagiano Okayama = 0.89 (league 1.13)

Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shimizu S-pulse 0 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 12.1% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 21.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1