J1 League — Japan
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 06:00 • Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.31) 2.03 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 18.9% 70.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 3
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 7.4% 15.1% 15.3% 10.3% 5.2% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.6% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
Played45
Form75%80%
Attack62%69%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins50%100%75%67%100%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%33%0%20%

Form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWWL • Gamba Osaka: WLWWW

League goals

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
GF total358639
GF avg1.52.52.02.01.51.8
GA total325516
GA avg1.51.01.31.70.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%80%80%
1.575%25%60%40%
2.525%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
Wins31
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-21-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-1—
Goals For2332
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaGamba Osaka
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gamba Osaka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away5.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 0.57 (league 1.31), Gamba Osaka = 2.03 (league 1.11)

Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 7.4% 15.1% 15.3% 10.3% 5.2% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.6% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 70.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1