Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 06:00 •
Ajinomoto Stadium
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.33)
1.78 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.7% | 21.1% | 33.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Machida Zelvia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Tokyo | 0 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 71% | 36% |
| Defense | 79% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 80% | 78% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
FC TokyoWWWLWWWLW
Machida ZelviaWWLWWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 78% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 11% | 67% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 22% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.45 @ Superbet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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