Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 05:00 •
Machida Stadium
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.33)
2.85 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5% | 17.5% | 47.2% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Kashiwa Reysol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 36% | 64% |
| Defense | 43% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 80% | 70% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
Machida ZelviaWWLWWLWWLW
Kashiwa ReysolLLLWLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.55 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…