J1 League — Japan
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 06:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.33) 0.71 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 15.9% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
JEF United Chiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 7.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack55%55%
Defense45%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokyo Verdy JEF United Chiba
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%40%60%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses20%60%40%67%100%80%
Tokyo VerdyWWWLLWLWLW
JEF United ChibaLLLLWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Tokyo Verdy JEF United Chiba
HATHAT
GF total88167310
GF avg1.61.61.61.20.81.0
GA total5101510818
GA avg1.02.01.51.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%100%
1.560%50%20%80%
2.520%20%10%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricTokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
Wins31
Draws00
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-2—
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricTokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total58.7%41.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Unibet
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League standings

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