Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 06:00 •
Panasonic Stadium Suita
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.32)
1.29 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1% | 15.2% | 14.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Fagiano Okayama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gamba Osaka | 0 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 78% | 56% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 60% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
Gamba OsakaWLWWWLWLWL
Fagiano OkayamaLLLWWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 80% | 90% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 50% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ Dafabet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.82 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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