Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 0.86)
1.66 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.5% | 19.8% | 26.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Cerro Porteno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 80% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Sportivo AmelianoDLWWWD
Cerro PortenoDWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 48.6% | 51.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.12 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…