IF Karlstad vs Hammarby Talang

Ettan - Norra — Sweden

Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 • Sola Arena

Not Started

IF Karlstad

—

Hammarby Talang

Expected Goals

1.64 (league 1.83) 2.62 (league 1.53)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
22.5%	18.1%	53.7%

best score tips

1 - 2

7.9%

1 - 3

6.9%

2 - 2

6.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Hammarby Talang
		0	1	2	3	4	5
IF Karlstad	0	1.4%	3.7%	4.8%	4.2%	2.8%	1.5%
	1	2.3%	6.1%	7.9%	6.9%	4.5%	2.4%
	2	1.9%	5.0%	6.5%	5.7%	3.7%	2.0%
	3	1.0%	2.7%	3.6%	3.1%	2.0%	1.1%
	4	0.4%	1.1%	1.5%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%
	5	0.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: IF Karlstad +53.1, Hammarby Talang +6.1.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

IF Karlstad Elo 1554.9 · +53.1

Hammarby Talang Elo 1581.2 · +6.1

Elo gapIF Karlstad +9

Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo3136.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3136.1

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang
Overall Elo	1554.9	1581.2
Form Elo	1614.5	1593.1
Home / Away Elo	1514.6	1537.1
Attack Elo	1588.7	1645.7
Defense Elo	1529.7	1557.5
Last 5 Elo change	+53.1	+6.1

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. IF Karlstad last-5 Elo change: +53.1; Hammarby Talang last-5 Elo change: +6.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang
Played	4	4
Form	100%	58%
Attack	47%	73%
Defense	87%	53%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.8	11 \| 2.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.5	7 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

77%

FT probability

3.5+

55%

FT probability

BTTS

90%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	IF Karlstad			Hammarby Talang
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	100%	100%	100%	0%	100%	50%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	50%	0%	25%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	50%	0%	25%

IF KarlstadWWWW

Hammarby TalangLWWD

League goals

Metric	IF Karlstad			Hammarby Talang
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	3	7	3	8	11
GF avg	2.0	1.5	1.8	1.5	4.0	2.8
GA total	2	0	2	4	3	7
GA avg	1.0	0.0	0.5	2.0	1.5	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	IF Karlstad		Hammarby Talang
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	50%	100%	100%
1.5	75%	0%	75%	75%
2.5	0%	0%	50%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	50%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	IF Karlstad			Hammarby Talang
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	2	2	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang
Wins	4	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	0	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-2	—	1-4
Biggest losses	—	—	1-2	—
Goals For	2	2	2	4
Goals Against	1	0	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang
Form	63%	37%
Att	39%	61%
Def	78%	22%
Poisson Distribution	48%	52%
H2h	38%	62%
Goals	46%	54%
Total	52.0%	48.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • IF Karlstad vs Hammarby Talang

Metric	IF Karlstad	Hammarby Talang
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0