Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Ibn-Batouta
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.29) 1.19 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 26.1% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Egypt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Senegal 0 7.4% 8.7% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSenegalEgypt
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack85%69%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Senegal Egypt
HATHAT
Played325415
Wins67%100%80%100%0%80%
Draws33%0%20%0%100%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Senegal: WDWWW • Egypt: WWDWW

League goals

Metric Senegal Egypt
HATHAT
GF total7411909
GF avg2.32.02.22.30.01.8
GA total202404
GA avg0.70.00.41.00.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSenegalEgypt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%80%60%
1.560%0%60%20%
2.560%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSenegalEgypt
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSenegalEgypt
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSenegalEgypt
Wins12
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For3330
Goals Against1020

Model comparison

MetricSenegalEgypt
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.4%45.6%

Advice: Double chance : Senegal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Dafabet
Draw3.09 @ 1xBet
Away4.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Senegal = 1.42 (league 1.29), Egypt = 1.19 (league 1.06)

Egypt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Senegal 0 7.4% 8.7% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 31.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1