Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:00 • Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.29) 2.35 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.7% 14.5% 76.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.5%
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 3
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Morocco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nigeria 0 6.0% 14.1% 16.5% 13.0% 7.6% 3.6%
1 2.8% 6.5% 7.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.7%
2 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNigeriaMorocco
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%69%
Defense69%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nigeria Morocco
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins100%100%100%67%100%80%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Nigeria: WWWWW • Morocco: WDWWW

League goals

Metric Nigeria Morocco
HATHAT
GF total9514459
GF avg3.02.52.81.32.51.8
GA total314101
GA avg1.00.50.80.30.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNigeriaMorocco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%20%
1.5100%20%60%0%
2.560%0%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNigeriaMorocco
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNigeriaMorocco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNigeriaMorocco
Wins51
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4323
Goals Against2110

Model comparison

MetricNigeriaMorocco
Form54%46%
Att61%39%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals36%64%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Morocco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ SBO
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nigeria = 0.46 (league 1.29), Morocco = 2.35 (league 1.06)

Morocco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nigeria 0 6.0% 14.1% 16.5% 13.0% 7.6% 3.6%
1 2.8% 6.5% 7.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.7%
2 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 76.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1