Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 01:10 •
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Expected Goals
5.30 (league 1.18)
0.15 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
best score tips
5 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
14.1%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Jaguares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Nacional | 0 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 15.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 44% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 86% | 57% | 71% | 50% | 0% | 27% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 43% | 21% | 38% | 86% | 60% |
Atletico NacionalWWWLWWLWWWLWWD
JaguaresWLDWLWLLLLLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 67% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 7% | 13% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 7% | 7% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 97% | 3% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.27 @ Bet365
Draw6.30 @ 188Bet
Away11.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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