Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.12) 1.26 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 26.3% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
9.9%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 7.4% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuniorAtletico Nacional
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack58%58%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Junior Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins50%60%56%100%50%75%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses25%40%33%0%50%25%

Form: Junior: LWWWLWLWD • Atletico Nacional: WWWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Junior Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
GF total691513417
GF avg1.51.81.73.31.02.1
GA total4711246
GA avg1.01.41.20.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuniorAtletico Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%75%75%
1.556%44%75%0%
2.522%0%38%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuniorAtletico Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricJuniorAtletico Nacional
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricJuniorAtletico Nacional
Wins33
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-1—1-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricJuniorAtletico Nacional
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Junior or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away2.71 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.17 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Junior = 1.34 (league 1.12), Atletico Nacional = 1.26 (league 0.79)

Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 7.4% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 34.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1