Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 19:00 • Estadio Américo Montanini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.12) 0.38 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.3% 10.8% 3.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.8%
3 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Valledupar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 4.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
Played33
Form56%11%
Attack38%8%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.71 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bucaramanga Alianza Valledupar
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%67%100%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%67%

Form: Bucaramanga: WDD • Alianza Valledupar: LLD

League goals

Metric Bucaramanga Alianza Valledupar
HATHAT
GF total235101
GF avg2.01.51.71.00.00.3
GA total134134
GA avg1.01.51.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%33%100%
1.567%33%0%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For2210
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricBucaramangaAlianza Valledupar
Form83%17%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total77.8%22.2%

Advice: Double chance : Bucaramanga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 188Bet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away6.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 1xBet
No1.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bucaramanga = 2.68 (league 1.12), Alianza Valledupar = 0.38 (league 0.79)

Alianza Valledupar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 4.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.3% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 3.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1