Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 21:10 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.12) 0.94 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 32.5% 35.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.9%
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Llaneros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 15.9% 15.0% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Played44
Form67%50%
Attack55%45%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Llaneros
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%33%50%0%50%25%
Draws0%67%50%100%50%75%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WWDD • Llaneros: WDDD

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Llaneros
HATHAT
GF total246235
GF avg2.01.31.51.01.51.3
GA total022213
GA avg0.00.70.51.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaLlaneros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%100%75%
1.575%25%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2—0-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For2212
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaLlaneros
Form57%43%
Att55%45%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h75%25%
Goals70%30%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ 10Bet
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.52 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 0.89 (league 1.12), Llaneros = 0.94 (league 0.80)

Llaneros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 15.9% 15.0% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 35.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1