Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Américo Montanini
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.17)
0.82 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 19.6% | 13.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportes Tolima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bucaramanga | 0 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 50% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 60% | 0% | 67% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
BucaramangaWDDWD
Deportes TolimaWWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 52.2% | 48.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away4.60 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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