Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 21:20 •
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.18)
0.82 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 34.5% | 31.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Once Caldas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Tolima | 0 | 18.9% | 15.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 77% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Deportes TolimaWWDDLD
Once CaldasWDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 33% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 61.2% | 39.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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