Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.12) 0.26 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.6% 12.0% 2.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.0%
1 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 6.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack36%55%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Chico
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%0%17%
Draws67%67%67%0%33%17%
Loses0%33%17%67%67%67%

Form: Fortaleza FC: WDDDDL • Chico: LLDLLW

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Chico
HATHAT
GF total325516
GF avg1.00.70.81.70.31.0
GA total2572810
GA avg0.71.71.20.72.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCChico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%33%83%
1.50%17%17%33%
2.50%17%17%33%
3.50%17%17%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCChico
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Wins10
Draws41
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-0—
Biggest losses—4-10-14-0
Goals For1151
Goals Against1414

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCChico
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Fortaleza FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away8.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 2.41 (league 1.12), Chico = 0.26 (league 0.80)

Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 6.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.6% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 2.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1