Primera A — Colombia
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Palogrande
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.47 (league 1.12) 0.82 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.4% 4.9% 2.4%
best score tips
4 - 0
8.4%
3 - 0
7.5%
5 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.5% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnce CaldasChico
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack50%33%
Defense61%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Once Caldas Chico
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%0%13%
Draws50%50%50%0%25%13%
Loses0%25%13%75%75%75%

Form: Once Caldas: WDDDDWLW • Chico: LLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Once Caldas Chico
HATHAT
GF total8513527
GF avg2.01.31.61.30.50.9
GA total551031013
GA avg1.31.31.30.82.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnce CaldasChico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%38%88%
1.538%25%13%38%
2.513%0%13%25%
3.513%0%13%13%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnce CaldasChico
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000325

Penalties

MetricOnce CaldasChico
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOnce CaldasChico
Wins11
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-25-0—
Biggest losses—2-10-14-0
Goals For4251
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricOnce CaldasChico
Form73%27%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Winner : Once Caldas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away9.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Once Caldas = 4.47 (league 1.12), Chico = 0.82 (league 0.79)

Chico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.5% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 2.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1