Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.11) 2.16 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.7% 20.2% 57.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 3.6% 7.7% 8.4% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.8% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.2% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack41%41%
Defense65%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played358437
Wins0%20%13%50%0%29%
Draws67%40%50%50%100%71%
Loses33%40%38%0%0%0%

Form: Independiente Medellin: LLDDLWDD • Bucaramanga: WDDWDDD

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total46107310
GF avg1.31.21.31.81.01.4
GA total5712134
GA avg1.71.41.50.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%57%43%
1.538%50%43%14%
2.513%13%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Wins11
Draws22
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-35-0—
Biggest losses1-23-1——
Goals For2352
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinBucaramanga
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.17 (league 1.11), Bucaramanga = 2.16 (league 0.79)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 3.6% 7.7% 8.4% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.8% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.2% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 57.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1