Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.49 (league 1.12) 0.30 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.3% 5.3% 1.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.0%
4 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jaguares
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCJaguares
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack64%36%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Jaguares
HATHAT
Played459538
Wins50%0%22%60%0%38%
Draws50%60%56%0%33%13%
Loses0%40%22%40%67%50%

Form: Fortaleza FC: WDDDDLWLD • Jaguares: WLDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Jaguares
HATHAT
GF total5510718
GF avg1.31.01.11.40.31.0
GA total310136915
GA avg0.82.01.41.23.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCJaguares
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%63%75%
1.522%22%25%50%
2.50%22%13%38%
3.50%22%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCJaguares
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCJaguares
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCJaguares
Wins11
Draws41
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-1—
Biggest losses—4-10-25-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against1435

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCJaguares
Form45%55%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Fortaleza FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 188Bet
Draw4.75 @ Unibet
Away9.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 3.49 (league 1.12), Jaguares = 0.30 (league 0.79)

Jaguares
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.3% · Draw 5.3% · Away win 1.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1