Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 23:20 •
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Expected Goals
3.54 (league 1.18)
0.60 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.9% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.7%
4 - 0
10.4%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Medellin | 0 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 58% | 25% |
| Defense | 42% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 33% | 31% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 29% | 33% | 31% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 43% | 33% | 38% | 38% | 88% | 63% |
Independiente MedellinLLDDLWDDLWWLWDLW
ChicoLLDLLWLLLWLDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 5 | 21 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Medellin | Chico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 81% | 44% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 13% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 13% | 6% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Medellin | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ William Hill
Draw5.50 @ Betano
Away10.25 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
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