Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 01:20 • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.28 (league 1.11) 0.50 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.8% 3.9% 1.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.9%
5 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Valledupar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.7% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuniorAlianza Valledupar
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack100%25%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Junior Alianza Valledupar
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%60%63%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%75%0%38%
Loses33%40%38%25%100%63%

Form: Junior: LWWWLWLW • Alianza Valledupar: LLDLDDLL

League goals

Metric Junior Alianza Valledupar
HATHAT
GF total5914303
GF avg1.71.81.80.80.00.4
GA total371061117
GA avg1.01.41.31.52.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuniorAlianza Valledupar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%38%100%
1.563%50%0%50%
2.525%0%0%38%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuniorAlianza Valledupar
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101145

Penalties

MetricJuniorAlianza Valledupar
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricJuniorAlianza Valledupar
Wins30
Draws02
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-2——
Biggest losses0-22-10-35-0
Goals For3310
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricJuniorAlianza Valledupar
Form82%18%
Att82%18%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals79%21%
Total81.6%18.4%

Advice: Winner : Junior

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Betano
Away7.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Junior = 4.28 (league 1.11), Alianza Valledupar = 0.50 (league 0.79)

Alianza Valledupar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.7% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 3.9% · Away win 1.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1