Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.07 (league 1.17) 0.38 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.4% 8.1% 2.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Valledupar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeAlianza Valledupar
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack38%23%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-6
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Alianza Valledupar
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%20%22%0%0%0%
Draws50%40%44%75%20%44%
Loses25%40%33%25%80%56%
Santa FeDDDWDLLWL
Alianza ValleduparLLDLDDLLD

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Alianza Valledupar
HATHAT
GF total6410314
GF avg1.50.81.10.80.20.4
GA total661261218
GA avg1.51.21.31.52.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeAlianza Valledupar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%44%100%
1.522%33%0%44%
2.50%11%0%33%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeAlianza Valledupar
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricSanta FeAlianza Valledupar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSanta FeAlianza Valledupar
Wins10
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses1-23-10-35-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeAlianza Valledupar
Form57%43%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total64.3%35.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
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League standings

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