Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.12) 2.02 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 20.2% 35.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
7.2%
1 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.3% 6.7% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuniorFortaleza FC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack55%73%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Junior Fortaleza FC
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%60%50%60%0%30%
Draws20%0%10%40%60%50%
Loses40%40%40%0%40%20%

Form: Junior: LWWWLWLWDL • Fortaleza FC: WDDDDLWLDW

League goals

Metric Junior Fortaleza FC
HATHAT
GF total69157512
GF avg1.21.81.51.41.01.2
GA total871541014
GA avg1.61.41.50.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuniorFortaleza FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%90%80%
1.550%50%30%20%
2.520%10%0%20%
3.50%10%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuniorFortaleza FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricJuniorFortaleza FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricJuniorFortaleza FC
Wins31
Draws14
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-1—
Biggest losses0-42-1—4-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against4214

Model comparison

MetricJuniorFortaleza FC
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Junior = 2.15 (league 1.12), Fortaleza FC = 2.02 (league 0.79)

Fortaleza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Junior 0 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
1 3.3% 6.7% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 35.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1