Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 00:30 • Estadio Américo Montanini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.11) 0.35 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 20.3% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 11.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBucaramangaOnce Caldas
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack31%88%
Defense94%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bucaramanga Once Caldas
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins60%20%40%67%40%55%
Draws40%80%60%33%40%36%
Loses0%0%0%0%20%9%

Form: Bucaramanga: WDDWDDDWWD • Once Caldas: WDDDDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Bucaramanga Once Caldas
HATHAT
GF total1051515722
GF avg2.01.01.52.51.42.0
GA total1457512
GA avg0.20.80.51.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBucaramangaOnce Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%100%82%
1.550%10%55%27%
2.520%0%27%0%
3.510%0%18%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBucaramangaOnce Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets426112
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricBucaramangaOnce Caldas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricBucaramangaOnce Caldas
Wins21
Draws34
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For5242
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricBucaramangaOnce Caldas
Form43%57%
Att26%74%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Once Caldas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bucaramanga = 1.80 (league 1.11), Once Caldas = 0.35 (league 0.79)

Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bucaramanga 0 11.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 7.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 6.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1