Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.18)
1.41 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5% | 26.1% | 41.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Millonarios | 0 | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 92% | 77% |
| Defense | 46% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 36% | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Draws | 17% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 17% | 80% | 45% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
MillonariosLLLDDWWLWWL
Atletico NacionalWWWLWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 45% | 80% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Millonarios | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away2.77 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ 10Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…