Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 01:30 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.11) 4.11 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 10.2% 56.6%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.2%
1 - 3
6.0%
1 - 5
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 3.1%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.0% 6.2% 5.1%
2 0.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 4.2%
3 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack69%46%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin Junior
HATHAT
Played46106511
Wins0%33%20%50%60%55%
Draws50%33%40%17%0%9%
Loses50%33%40%33%40%36%

Form: Independiente Medellin: LLDDLWDDLW • Junior: LWWWLWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin Junior
HATHAT
GF total58138917
GF avg1.31.31.31.31.81.5
GA total78159716
GA avg1.81.31.51.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinJunior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%82%82%
1.540%50%55%45%
2.510%10%18%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Wins13
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-42-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Form53%47%
Att60%40%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away4.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.63 (league 1.11), Junior = 4.11 (league 0.79)

Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 3.1%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.0% 6.2% 5.1%
2 0.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 4.2%
3 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 56.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1