Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio La Independencia
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.18)
1.20 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.7% | 27.7% | 36.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportes Tolima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chico | 0 | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 25% | 67% |
| Defense | 25% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 18% | 80% | 17% | 45% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 67% | 36% |
| Loses | 60% | 83% | 73% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
ChicoLLDLLWLLLWL
Deportes TolimaWWDDLDWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chico | Deportes Tolima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 36% | 91% | 73% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 45% | 55% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 27% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 19% | 81% |
| Total | 27.0% | 73.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.12 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…