Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 21:10 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.18) 2.28 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 19.9% 51.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 2.2% 4.9% 5.6% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack50%67%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-6
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%17%18%20%33%27%
Draws60%50%55%40%33%36%
Loses20%33%27%40%33%36%
Santa FeDDDWDLLWLDD
Independiente MedellinLLDDLWDDLWW

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
GF total75127815
GF avg1.40.81.11.41.31.4
GA total77147815
GA avg1.41.21.31.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%91%82%82%
1.518%27%45%45%
2.50%9%9%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
Wins11
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-23-1
Goals For2123
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeIndependiente Medellin
Form38%62%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals45%55%
Total45.2%54.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Fonbet
No1.96 @ Unibet
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League standings

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